Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciencesWhewell, William
Philosophy
Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciences
Whewell, William
Science -- Philosophy
3. But the Method of Curves not only enables us to obtain laws of
nature from _good_ Observations, but also, in a great degree, from
observations which are very _imperfect_. For the imperfection of
observations may in part be corrected by this consideration;--that
though they may appear irregular, the correct facts which they
imperfectly represent, are really regular. And the Method of Curves
enables us to remedy this apparent irregularity, at least in part.
For when Observations thus imperfect are laid down as Ordinates, and
their extremities connected by a line, we obtain, not a smooth and
flowing curve, such as we should have if the observations contained
only the rigorous results of regular laws; but a broken and
irregular line, full of sudden and capricious twistings, and bearing
on its face marks of irregularities dependent, not upon law, but
upon chance. Yet these irregular and abrupt deviations in the curve
are, in most cases, but small in extent, when compared with those
bendings which denote the effects of regular law. And this
circumstance is one of the great grounds of advantage in the Method
of Curves. For when the observations thus laid down present to the
eye such a broken and irregular line, we can still see, often with
great ease and certainty, what twistings of the line are probably
due to the irregular errours of observation; and can at once reject
these, by drawing a more regular curve, cutting off all such small
and irregular sinuosities, leaving some to the right and some to the
left; and then proceeding as if this regular curve, and not the
irregular one, expressed the observations. In this manner, we
suppose the errours of observation to balance each other; some of
our corrected measures being too great and others too small, but
with no great preponderance either way. We draw our main regular
curve, not _through_ the points given by our observations, but
_among_ them: drawing it, as has been said by one of the
philosophers[30\3] who first systematically used this method, 'with
a bold but careful hand.' {207} The regular curve which we thus
obtain, thus freed from the casual errours of observation, is that
in which we endeavour to discover the laws of change and succession.
[Note 30\3: Sir J. Herschel, _Ast. Soc. Trans._ vol. v. p. 1.]
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