Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciencesWhewell, William
Philosophy
Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciences
Whewell, William
Science -- Philosophy
4. By this method, thus getting rid at once, in a great measure, of
errours of observation, we obtain data which are _more true than
the_ individual _facts themselves_. The philosopher's business is to
compare his hypotheses with facts, as we have often said. But if we
make the comparison with separate special facts, we are liable to be
perplexed or misled, to an unknown amount, by the errours of
observation; which may cause the hypothetical and the observed
result to agree, or to disagree, when otherwise they would not do
so. If, however, we thus take the _whole mass of the facts_, and
remove the errours of actual observation[31\3], by making the curve
which expresses the supposed observation regular and smooth, we have
the separate facts corrected by their general tendency. We are put
in possession, as we have said, of something more true than any fact
by itself is.
[Note 31\3: _Ib._ vol. v. p. 4.]
One of the most admirable examples of the use of this Method of
Curves is found in Sir John Herschel's _Investigation of the Orbits
of Double Stars_[32\3]. The author there shows how far inferior the
direct observations of the angle of position are, to the
observations corrected by a curve in the manner above stated. 'This
curve once drawn,' he says, 'must represent, it is evident, the law
of variation of the angle of position, with the time, not only for
instants intermediate between the dates of observations, but even at
the moments of observation themselves, much better than the
individual _raw_ observations can possibly (on an average) do. It is
only requisite to try a case or two, to be satisfied that by
substituting the curve for the points, we have made a nearer
approach to nature, and in a great measure eliminated errours of
observation.' 'In following the graphical process,' he adds, 'we
have a conviction almost approaching to moral certainty that {208}
we cannot be greatly misled.' Again, having thus corrected the raw
observations, he makes another use of the graphical method, by
trying whether an ellipse can be drawn 'if not _through_, at least
_among_ the points, so as to approach tolerably near them all; and
thus approaching to the orbit which is the subject of
investigation.'
[Note 32\3: _Ib._]
5. The _Obstacles_ which principally impede the application of the
Method of Curves are (I.) our _ignorance of the arguments_ of the
changes, and (II.) the _complication of several laws_ with one
another.
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