Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciencesWhewell, William
Philosophy
Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciences
Whewell, William
Science -- Philosophy
Thus we shall find Bacon frequently discommending this habit, under
the name of 'anticipation of the mind,' and Newton thinks it
necessary to say emphatically 'hypotheses non fingo.' It has been
constantly urged that the inductions by which sciences are formed
must be _cautious_ and _rigorous_; and the various imaginations
which passed through Kepler's brain, and to which he has given
utterance, have been blamed or pitied, as lamentable instances of an
unphilosophical frame of mind. Yet it has appeared in the preceding
remarks that hypotheses rightly used are among the helps, far more
than the dangers, of science;--that scientific induction is not a
'cautious' or a 'rigorous' process in the sense of _abstaining from_
such suppositions, but in _not adhering_ to them till they are
confirmed by fact, and in carefully seeking from facts confirmation
or refutation. Kepler's distinctive character was, not that he was
peculiarly given to the construction of hypotheses, but that he
narrated with extraordinary copiousness and candour the course of
his thoughts, his labours, and his feelings. In the minds of most
persons, as we have said, the inadmissible suppositions, when
rejected, are soon forgotten: and thus the trace of them vanishes
from the thoughts, and the successful hypothesis alone holds its
place in our memory. But in reality, many other transient
suppositions must have been made by all discoverers;--hypotheses
which are not afterwards asserted as true systems, but entertained
for an instant;--'tentative hypotheses,' as they have been called.
Each of these hypotheses is followed by its corresponding train of
observations, from which it derives its power of leading to truth.
The hypothesis is {83} like the captain, and the observations like
the soldiers of an army: while he appears to command them, and in
this way to work his own will, he does in fact derive all his power
of conquest from their obedience, and becomes helpless and useless
if they mutiny.
Since the discoverer has thus constantly to work his way onwards by
means of hypotheses, false and true, it is highly important for him
to possess talents and means for rapidly _testing_ each supposition as
it offers itself. In this as in other parts of the work of
discovery, success has in general been mainly owing to the native
ingenuity and sagacity of the discoverer's mind. Yet some Rules
tending to further this object have been delivered by eminent
philosophers, and some others may perhaps be suggested. Of these we
shall here notice only some of the most general, leaving for a
future chapter the consideration of some more limited and detailed
processes by which, in certain cases, the discovery of the laws of
nature may be materially assisted.
SECT. III.--_Tests of Hypotheses._
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