Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciencesWhewell, William
Philosophy
Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciences
Whewell, William
Science -- Philosophy
10. Thus the hypotheses which we accept ought to explain phenomena
which we have observed. But they {86} ought to do more than this:
our hypotheses ought to _foretel_ phenomena which have not yet been
observed; at least all phenomena of the same kind as those which the
hypothesis was invented to explain. For our assent to the hypothesis
implies that it is held to be true of all particular instances. That
these cases belong to past or to future times, that they have or
have not already occurred, makes no difference in the applicability
of the rule to them. Because the rule prevails, it includes all
cases; and will determine them all, if we can only calculate its
real consequences. Hence it will predict the results of new
combinations, as well as explain the appearances which have occurred
in old ones. And that it does this with certainty and correctness,
is one mode in which the hypothesis is to be verified as right and
useful.
The scientific doctrines which have at various periods been
established have been verified in this manner. For example, the
_Epicyclical Theory_ of the heavens was confirmed by its
_predicting_ truly eclipses of the sun and moon, configurations of
the planets, and other celestial phenomena; and by its leading to
the construction of Tables by which the places of the heavenly
bodies were given at every moment of time. The truth and accuracy of
these predictions were a proof that the hypothesis was valuable,
and, at least to a great extent, true; although, as was afterwards
found, it involved a false representation of the structure of the
heavens. In like manner, the discovery of the _Laws of Refraction_
enabled mathematicians to _predict_, by calculation, what would be
the effect of any new form or combination of transparent lenses.
Newton's hypothesis of _Fits of Easy Transmission and Easy
Reflection_ in the particles of light, although not confirmed by
other kinds of facts, involved a true statement of the law of the
phenomena which it was framed to include, and served to _predict_
the forms and colours of thin plates for a wide range of given
cases. The hypothesis that Light operates by _Undulations_ and
_Interferences_, afforded the means of _predicting_ results under a
still larger extent of conditions. In like manner in the {87}
progress of chemical knowledge, the doctrine of _Phlogiston_
supplied the means of _foreseeing_ the consequence of many
combinations of elements, even before they were tried; but the
_Oxygen Theory_, besides affording predictions, at least equally
exact, with regard to the general results of chemical operations,
included all the facts concerning the relations of weight of the
elements and their compounds, and enabled chemists to _foresee_ such
facts in untried cases. And the Theory of _Electromagnetic Forces_,
as soon as it was rightly understood, enabled those who had mastered
it to _predict_ motions such as had not been before observed, which
were accordingly found to take place.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account