Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciencesWhewell, William
Philosophy
Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciences
Whewell, William
Science -- Philosophy
Men cannot help believing that the laws laid down by discoverers
must be in a great measure identical with the real laws of nature,
when the discoverers thus determine effects beforehand in the same
manner in which nature herself determines them when the occasion
occurs. Those who can do this, must, to a considerable extent, have
detected nature's secret;--must have fixed upon the conditions to
which she attends, and must have seized the rules by which she
applies them. Such a coincidence of untried facts with speculative
assertions cannot be the work of chance, but implies some large
portion of truth in the principles on which the reasoning is
founded. To trace order and law in that which has been observed, may
be considered as interpreting what nature has written down for us,
and will commonly prove that we understand her alphabet. But to
predict what has not been observed, is to attempt ourselves to use
the legislative phrases of nature; and when she responds plainly and
precisely to that which we thus utter, we cannot but suppose that we
have in a great measure made ourselves masters of the meaning and
structure of her language. The prediction of results, even of the
same kind as those which have been observed, in new cases, is a
proof of real success in our inductive processes.
11. We have here spoken of the prediction of facts _of the same
kind_ as those from which our rule was collected. But the evidence
in favour of our {88} induction is of a much higher and more
forcible character when it enables us to explain and determine cases
of a _kind different_ from those which were contemplated in the
formation of our hypothesis. The instances in which this has
occurred, indeed, impress us with a conviction that the truth of our
hypothesis is certain. No accident could give rise to such an
extraordinary coincidence. No false supposition could, after being
adjusted to one class of phenomena, exactly represent a different
class, where the agreement was unforeseen and uncontemplated. That
rules springing from remote and unconnected quarters should thus
leap to the same point, can only arise from _that_ being the point
where truth resides.
Accordingly the cases in which inductions from classes of facts
altogether different have thus _jumped together_, belong only to the
best established theories which the history of science contains. And
as I shall have occasion to refer to this peculiar feature in their
evidence, I will take the liberty of describing it by a particular
phrase; and will term it the _Consilience of Inductions_.
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