Supposing that Buonaparte knew that the capital was thus uncovered, and
knew that he still retained the same superiority in numbers over the
Archduke as he had in Styria, then his advance against the heart of the
Austrian States was no longer without purpose, and its value depended
on the value which the Austrians might place on preserving their
capital. If that was so great that, rather than lose it, they would
accept the conditions of peace which Buonaparte was ready to offer
them, it became an object of the first importance to threaten Vienna.
If Buonaparte had any reason to know this, then criticism may stop
there, but if this point was only problematical, then criticism must
take a still higher position, and ask what would have followed if the
Austrians had resolved to abandon Vienna and retire farther into the
vast dominions still left to them. But it is easy to see that this
question cannot be answered without bringing into the consideration the
probable movements of the Rhine Armies on both sides. Through the
decided superiority of numbers on the side of the French—130,000 to
80,000—there could be little doubt of the result; but then next arises
the question, What use would the Directory make of a victory; whether
they would follow up their success to the opposite frontiers of the
Austrian monarchy, therefore to the complete breaking up or overthrow
of that power, or whether they would be satisfied with the conquest of
a considerable portion to serve as a security for peace? The probable
result in each case must be estimated, in order to come to a conclusion
as to the probable determination of the Directory. Supposing the result
of these considerations to be that the French forces were much too weak
for the complete subjugation of the Austrian monarchy, so that the
attempt might completely reverse the respective positions of the
contending Armies, and that even the conquest and occupation of a
considerable district of country would place the French Army in
strategic relations to which they were not equal, then that result must
naturally influence the estimate of the position of the Army of Italy,
and compel it to lower its expectations. And this, it was no doubt
which influenced Buonaparte, although fully aware of the helpless
condition of the Archduke, still to sign the peace of Campo Formio,
which imposed no greater sacrifices on the Austrians than the loss of
provinces which, even if the campaign took the most favourable turn for
them, they could not have reconquered. But the French could not have
reckoned on even the moderate treaty of Campo Formio, and therefore it
could not have been their object in making their bold advance if two
considerations had not presented themselves to their view, the first of
which consisted in the question, what degree of value the Austrians
would attach to each of the above-mentioned results; whether,
notwithstanding the probability of a satisfactory result in either of
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