Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and OpportunitiesTeller, Edward
Science
Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and Opportunities
Teller, Edward
Nuclear energy -- Popular works; Nuclear weapons; Radioactivity -- Physiological effect
In any event the number of additional cases of leukemia and bone cancer
due to the fallout radiation is certainly too small to be noticed
against the natural incidence of these disorders.
In the next thirty years about 6,000,000 people throughout the world
will die from leukemia and bone cancer. From past tests, which have
involved the explosion of about fifty megatons of fission energy, the
possibility exists that another 50 × 200, i.e., 10,000 cases may occur.
Statistical methods are not able to find the difference between
6,000,000 and 6,010,000. There is no way to differentiate between the
fallout-induced cases of leukemia and bone cancer, and those which occur
naturally.
The possible shortening of ten thousand lives may seem rather ominous.
But mere figures can be misleading. A better way to appreciate the
danger from fallout is to compare it with other more familiar dangers.
Such a comparison can be made with the natural background of cosmic rays
and radioactivity in the earth and in our own bodies.
We are constantly and inescapably exposed to this radiation. Our
ancestors have been exposed to it. The human race has evolved in such a
radioactive environment. Moreover, the biological effects from different
kinds of radiation can be compared in a meaningful way in terms of
roentgens. Therefore the danger from Sr⁹⁰ is not unknown in every
respect. In some ways it is very well-known because we and all living
beings have spent our days in a similarly dangerous surrounding. We live
on an earth which has radioactivity in its rocks, which carries a
similar activity in its waters, and which is exposed from all sides, to
a rain of particles which produce effects identical with the effects of
radioactive materials.
Not all radiations which have the same intensity (the same number of
roentgens) have precisely the same effect. The damage produced also
depends somewhat on the spacing of the ionized and disrupted molecules.
The cosmic rays and the Sr⁹⁰, however, are quite similar even in this
respect.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account