Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and OpportunitiesTeller, Edward
Science
Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and Opportunities
Teller, Edward
Nuclear energy -- Popular works; Nuclear weapons; Radioactivity -- Physiological effect
The laws of heredity are complicated because of the fact that the same
property is influenced by a gene from each parent. Frequently these two
genes dictate different behavior and then the result is a compromise,
sometimes evenhanded, sometimes unbalanced. But of the two genes only
one will find its way to the child of the next generation. The
compromise is temporary and original properties may emerge again. Which
one of any pair of chromosomes (or of the two assemblies of genes)
carries on is a matter of chance. In the world of the cells as in the
world of atoms it is chance that determines the future—not fate.
Of all these facts we need be particularly interested in one. The units
of inheritance are rather constant but not quite immutable. There is a
small possibility that any gene may suffer a mutation. That is, it may
turn into a new chemical, carrying a new code and new properties.
A gene is an extremely finely and precisely constituted object. It must
be so in order to carry all the racial past in so little material. A
mutation due to chance will spoil this order in almost every instance.
The great majority of mutations are detrimental. Many are lethal.
It is an incredible fact that these random mutations, almost always
harmful and never proceeding according to any plan, should have been
responsible in the very long run for all the many beautiful and perfect
living creatures that nature has produced (and this includes the human
race). The thread leading from single cells to cell colonies, worms,
fishes, vertebrates, mammals and human beings does certainly not seem to
be the work of chance. Much less does it seem to be the work of a gamble
taking one chance of a small improvement against a thousand chances of
deformity or death. Nevertheless it is such a terrible game of chance
which has produced both the human body and in some manner also the human
spirit.
Big numbers are strange things and when each member of a huge assembly
must be given individual attention then the numbers are even harder to
appreciate. Billions of contemporary lives in billions of distinct
generations have led to the incredible outcome: the harmony of life
produced by gambling.
Radiation is surely disruptive. It does cause mutations. Since the genes
appear to be single molecules, a single process of ionization or
excitation is likely to result in a change. As has been said before
there is doubt whether or not cancer and leukemia can be caused by
exceedingly little radiation. There is little doubt, however, that
mutations can be caused by any small amount of radiation. The less
radiation the less the chance. But the chance will always be there.
A very great increase in the natural rate of mutations could indeed have
terrifying effects. We can be quite certain, however, that radiation
from atomic tests will increase the chance of mutations by only a very
small amount.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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