Physics and Politics, or, Thoughts on the application of the principles of "natural selection" and "inheritance" to political societyBagehot, Walter
Philosophy
Physics and Politics, or, Thoughts on the application of the principles of "natural selection" and "inheritance" to political society
Bagehot, Walter
Evolution; Nationalism; Political science
The worst of these superstitions is that they are easy to make and hard
to destroy. A single run of luck has made the fortune of many a charm
and many idols. I doubt if even a single run of luck be necessary. I am
sure that if an elder boy said that 'the pretty fish was lucky--of
course it was,' all the lesser boys would believe it, and in a week it
would be an accepted idol. And I suspect the Nestor of a savage
tribe--the aged repository of guiding experience--would have an equal
power of creating superstitions. But if once created they are most
difficult to eradicate. If any one said that the amulet was of certain
efficacy--that it always acted whenever it was applied--it would of
course be very easy to disprove; but no one ever said that the 'pretty
fish' always brought luck; it was only said that it did so on the
whole, and that if you had it you were more likely to be lucky than if
you were without it. But it requires a long table of statistics of the
results of games to disprove this thoroughly; and by the time people
can make tables they are already above such beliefs, and do not need to
have them disproved. Nor in many cases where omens or amulets are used
would such tables be easy to make, for the data could not be found; and
a rash attempt to subdue the superstition by a striking instance may
easily end in confirming it. Francis Newman, in the remarkable
narrative of his experience as a missionary in Asia, gives a curious
example of this. As he was setting out on a distant and somewhat
hazardous expedition, his native servants tied round the neck of the
mule a small bag supposed to be of preventive and mystic virtue. As the
place was crowded and a whole townspeople looking on, Mr. Newman
thought that he would take an opportunity of disproving the
superstition. So he made a long speech of explanation in his best
Arabic, and cut off the bag, to the horror of all about him. But as
ill-fortune would have it, the mule had not got thirty yards up the
street before she put her foot into a hole and broke her leg; upon
which all the natives were confirmed in their former faith in the power
of the bag, and said, 'You see now what happens to unbelievers.'
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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