The result of the portentously difficult and profoundly interesting
investigation, here sketched in barest outline, is that the solar system
is stable: that is to say, that if disturbed a little it will oscillate
and return to its old state; whereas if it were unstable the slightest
disturbance would tend to accumulate, and would sooner or later bring
about a catastrophe. A hanging pendulum is stable, and oscillates about
a mean position; its motion is periodic. A top-heavy load balanced on a
point is unstable. All the changes of the solar system are periodic,
_i.e._ they repeat themselves at regular intervals, and they never
exceed a certain moderate amount.
The period is something enormous. They will not have gone through all
their changes until a period of 2,000,000 years has elapsed. This is
the period of the planetary oscillation: "a great pendulum of eternity
which beats ages as our pendulums beat seconds." Enormous it seems; and
yet we have reason to believe that the earth has existed through many
such periods.
The two laws of stability discovered and stated by Lagrange and
Laplace I can state, though they may be difficult to understand:--
Represent the masses of the several planets by m_1, m_2, &c.; their
mean distances from the sun (or radii vectores) by r_1, r_2, &c.;
the excentricities of their orbits by e_1, e_2, &c.; and the
obliquity of the planes of these orbits, reckoned from a single
plane of reference or "invariable plane," by [theta]_1, [theta]_2,
&c.; then all these quantities (except m) are liable to
fluctuate; but, however much they change, an increase for one
planet will be accompanied by a decrease for some others; so that,
taking all the planets into account, the sum of a set of terms like
these, m_1e_1^2 [square root]r_1 + m_2e_2^2 [square root]r_2
+ &c., will remain always the same. This is summed up briefly in
the following statement:
[Sigma](me^2 [square root]r) = constant.
That is one law, and the other is like it, but with inclination of
orbit instead of excentricity, viz.:
[Sigma](m[theta]^2 [square root]r) = constant.
The value of each of these two constants can at any time be
calculated. At present their values are small. Hence they always
were and always will be small; being, in fact, invariable. Hence
neither _e_ nor _r_ nor [theta] can ever become infinite, nor can
their average value for the system ever become zero.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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