But the present state of things did not always obtain. The conical
movement of the earth's axis (now known by a curious perversion of
phrase as "precession") will in the course of 13,000 years or so
cause the tilt to be precisely opposite, and then we shall have the
more extreme winters and summers instead of the southern
hemisphere.
If the change were to occur now, it might not be overpowering,
because now the excentricity is moderate. But if it happened some
time back, when the excentricity was much greater, a decidedly
different arrangement of climate may have resulted. There is no
need to say _if_ it happened some time back: it did happen, and
accordingly an agent for affecting the distribution of mean
temperature on the earth is to hand; though whether it is
sufficient to achieve all that has been observed by geologists is a
matter of opinion.
Once more, the whole diversity of the seasons depends on the tilt
of the earth's axis, the 23° by which it is inclined to a
perpendicular to the orbital plane; and this obliquity or tilt is
subject to slow fluctuations. Hence there will come eras when all
causes combine to produce a maximum extremity of seasons in the
northern hemisphere, and other eras when it is the southern
hemisphere which is subject to extremes.
But a grander problem still awaited solution--nothing less than the fate
of the whole solar system. Here are a number of bodies of various sizes
circulating at various rates round one central body, all attracted by
it, and all attracting each other, the whole abandoned to the free play
of the force of gravitation: what will be the end of it all? Will they
ultimately approach and fall into the sun, or will they recede further
and further from him, into the cold of space? There is a third possible
alternative: may they not alternately approach and recede from him, so
as on the whole to maintain a fair approximation to their present
distances, without great and violent extremes of temperature either way?
If any one planet of the system were to fall into the sun, more
especially if it were a big one like Jupiter or Saturn, the heat
produced would be so terrific that life on this earth would be
destroyed, even at its present distance; so that we are personally
interested in the behaviour of the other planets as well as in the
behaviour of our own.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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