Practical Exercises in Elementary MeteorologyWard, Robert DeCourcy
Science
Practical Exercises in Elementary Meteorology
Ward, Robert DeCourcy
Meteorology
In a second letter to the same correspondent, dated Philadelphia, Feb. 13,
1749-50, Franklin states his reasons as follows: “You desire to know my
thoughts about the northeast storms beginning to leeward. Some years
since, there was an eclipse of the moon at nine o’clock in the evening,
which I intended to observe; but before night a storm blew up at
northeast, and continued violent all night and all the next day; the sky
thick-clouded, dark, and rainy, so that neither moon nor stars could be
seen. The storm did great damage all along the coast, for we had accounts
of it in the newspapers from Boston, Newport, New York, Maryland, and
Virginia; but what surprised us was to find in the Boston newspapers an
account of the observation of that eclipse made there; for I thought as
the storm came from the northeast it must have begun sooner at Boston than
with us, and consequently have prevented such an observation. I wrote to
my brother about it, and he informed me that the eclipse was over there an
hour before the storm began. Since which time I have made inquiries from
time to time of travelers, and observed the accounts in the newspapers
from New England, New York, Maryland, Virginia, and South Carolina; and I
find it to be a constant fact that northeast storms begin to leeward, and
are often more violent there than to windward” (Sparks’s _Life of
Franklin_, VI, 79, 105, 106).
The fact that our northeast storms come from the southwest, which was
first noticed by Benjamin Franklin some years before he put the suggestion
just quoted in writing, was one of the great contributions to meteorology
made by Americans. Modern weather forecasting essentially depends upon the
general eastward movement of cyclones and anticyclones, with their
accompanying weather conditions.
The daily weather map shows us the actual condition of the weather all
over the United States at 8 A.M., “Eastern Standard Time.” The positions
of cyclones and of anticyclones; of areas of clear, fair, cloudy or stormy
weather, and of regions of high or low temperatures, are plainly seen at a
glance. These areas of fair and foul weather, with their accompanying
systems of spiralling winds, move across country in a general easterly
direction. Knowing something of their direction and rate of movement, we
can determine, with greater or less accuracy, their probable positions in
12, 24, 36, or 48 hours. The prediction or foretelling of the weather
which may be expected to prevail at any station or in any district is
_weather forecasting_.
Weather forecasts are usually made on our daily weather maps for 24 hours
in advance. It is by no means an easy thing to make accurate weather
forecasts. Careful study and much practice are required of the forecasters
of the Weather Bureau before they are permitted to make the official
forecasts which are printed on the daily maps and in the newspapers.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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