Percent of resident population expected to go to State or Federal prison for the first time, by year-- 1974 1979 1986 1991 1997 2001 Gender Male 3.6% 4.1% 6.0% 9.1% 10.6% 11.3% Female 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.8 Race/Hispanic origin White* 1.2% 1.4% 2.0% 2.5% 3.1 3.4% Male 2.2 2.5 3.6 4.4 5.4 5.9 Female 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 Black* 7.0% 7.2% 9.3% 16.5% 17.7 18.6% Male 13.4 13.4 17.4 29.4 31.0 32.2 Female 1.1 1.4 1.8 3.6 4.9 5.6 Hispanic 2.2% 3.3% 6.2% 9.5% 10.5 10.0% Male 4.0 6.0 11.1 16.3 18.0 17.2 Female 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.2 2.2 Note: Percents represent the chances of being admitted to State or Federal prison during a lifetime. Estimates were obtained by applying age-specific first incarceration and mortality rates for each group to a hypothetical population of 100,000 births. See _Methodology_. *Excludes persons of Hispanic origin. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- [Illustration: Figure 4: Nearly 1 in 3 black males likely to go to prison] ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Figure 4 +Nearly 1 in 3 black males likely to go to prison based on constant 2001 incarceration rates+ Cumulative percent of males going to prison Age Total White Black Hispanic