Produced by Jonathan Ingram, Janet Blenkinship and the Online Distributed Proofreading Team at https://www.pgdp.net PROBABILITIES; AN AID TO FAITH. BY Martin Farquhar Tupper, A.M., F.R.S. THE AUTHOR OF "PROVERBIAL PHILOSOPHY." "ALMOST THOU PERSUADEST ME TO BE A CHRISTIAN." HARTFORD: PUBLISHED BY SILAS ANDRUS & SON. 1851. PROBABILITIES. AN AID TO FAITH. The certainty of those things which most surely are believed among us, is a matter quite distinct from their antecedent probability or improbability. We know, and take for facts, that Cromwell and Napoleon existed, and are persuaded that their characters and lives were such as history reports them: but it is another thing, and one eminently calculated to disturb any disbeliever of such history, if a man were enabled to show, that, from the condition of social anarchy, there was an antecedent likelihood for the use of military despots; that, from the condition of a popular puritanism, or a popular infidelity, it was previously to have been expected that such leaders should have the several characteristics of a bigoted zeal for religion, or a craving appetite for worldly glory; that, from the condition liable to revolutions, it was probable to find such despots arising out of the middle class; and that, from the condition of reaction incidental to all human violences, there was a clear expectability that the power of such military monarchs should not be continued to their natural heirs. Such a line of argument, although in no measure required for the corroboration of facts, might have considerable power to persuade _a priori_ the man, who had not hitherto seen reason to credit such facts from posterior evidence. It would have rolled away a great stone, which to such a mind might otherwise have stood as a stumbling-block on the very threshold of truth. It would have cleared off a heavy mist, which might prevent him from discerning the real nature of the scene in which he stood. It would have shown him that, what others know to be fact, is, even to him who does not know it, become antecedently probable; and that Reason is not only no enemy to Faith, but is ready and willing to acknowledge its alliance.