Quo vadimus? : $b Some glimpses of the futureFournier d'Albe, E. E. (Edmund Edward)
Philosophy
Quo vadimus? : $b Some glimpses of the future
Fournier d'Albe, E. E. (Edmund Edward)
Civilization; Progress
Somebody has called astronomy the Futile Science, and I am not at all
sure that the epithet is wholly undeserved. What do the stars matter to
us? There was a time when they were believed to have an influence on
human affairs, particularly those of kings and emperors. To-day they
are insignificant specks at an immense distance from us, a distance
so great that if they all were utterly annihilated neither we nor our
remotest descendants should experience the smallest material effect.
The only assignable value of the stars to us, beyond the general
enlargement of our mental horizon, is that they serve as an accurate
measure of time. But even that use is now almost superfluous, since
other absolute standards of time have become available, such as the
rates of disintegration of the radio-active elements.
How, then, can I account for the fact that there is a perpetual
fascination about “the heavens,” that books are constantly being
written about them, societies founded to study them, and vast
observatories built to watch them?
It cannot be simply the thirst for knowledge. Knowledge in the abstract
has but few devotees. For every one person who wants the Truth at all
costs there are a thousand who want an Illusion at all costs, even
at the cost of mental balance. Let a man go about proclaiming truths
ascertained by research and experiment, and he will be considered a
bore by all except a few specialists. But let him boldly assert an
absurdity or a paradox, and he will obtain millions of adherents, all
animated by the Will to Believe. And the more absurd his assertions,
the more self-assured and fanatical will be his followers.
No, the popular interest in astronomy is not due to a thirst for
accurate information. It is due to a vestige of the old astrological
belief in the significance of the constellations. We still try to “read
our fate in the stars.” They are of interest to us for what they can
tell us of the future, proximate or remote. We search the heavens for
an answer to the question “Whither?”――_Quo vadimus?_
In trying to predict the fate of the human race we must begin by
gauging the chances of permanence possessed by our habitable globe.
Its probable age has been put at a hundred million years. Predictions
as to when it will cease to be habitable vary enormously, but the
latest figures go into many millions of years, and the discovery of
radio-activity has had the effect of greatly postponing the general
freezing up of our planet.
Our earthly habitation, then, seems assured for many millions of years.
But millions of years are, after all, but relative, and they vanish
before the vast age of the stellar universe[1] and the enormous vistas
of time yet to come.
[1] Dr. Jeans, on very modern data, puts this age at seven million
million years.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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