Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjectsProctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjects
Proctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
Days of Days without New groups
observation spots observed
1848 278 0 930
1851 308 0 141
1856 321 193 34
1860 332 0 211
1867 312 195 25
A comparison of the three tables given in these notes and the text will
afford some idea of the irregularities existing in the various waves of
sun-spots.]
_SUN-SPOTS AND COMMERCIAL PANICS._
We are not only, it would seem, to regard the sun as the ultimate
source of all forms of terrestrial energy, existent or potential, but
as regulating in a much more special manner the progress of mundane
events. Many years have passed since Sabine, Wolf, and Gauthier
asserted that variations in the daily oscillations of the magnetic
needle appear to synchronise with the changes taking place in the
sun's condition, the oscillations attaining their _maximum_ average
range in years when the sun shows most spots, and their _minimum_
range when there are fewest spots. And although it is well known that
the Astronomer Royal in England and the President of the Academy
of Sciences in France reject this doctrine, it still remains in
vogue. True, the average magnetic period appears to be about 10.45
years, while Wolf obtains for the sun-spot period 11.11 years; but
believers in the connection between terrestrial magnetic disturbances
and sun-spots consider that among the imperfect records of the past
condition of the sun Wolf must have lost sight of one particular wave
of sun-spots, so to speak. If there have been 24 such waves between
1611 and 1877, when sun-spots were fewest, we get Wolf's period
of 11.11 years; if there have been 25 such waves then, taking an
admissible estimate for the earliest epoch, we get 10.45 years, the
period required to synchronise with the period of terrestrial magnetic
changes. The matter must be regarded as still _sub judice_. This,
however, is only one relation out of many now suggested. Displays of
the aurora, being unquestionably dependent on the magnetic condition
of the earth, would of course be associated with the sun spot period,
if the magnetic period is so; and certainly the most remarkable
displays of the aurora in recent times have occurred when the sun has
shown many spots. Yet this of itself proves nothing more than had
been already known--namely, that the last few magnetic periods have
nearly synchronised with the last few sun-spot periods. It is rather
strange, too, that no auroras are mentioned in the English records
for 80 years preceding the aurora of 1716, and in the records of the
Paris Academy of Sciences one only--that of 1666, which occurred when
sun-spots were fewest. The great aurora of 1723, seen as far south
as Bologna, also occurred at the time of _minimum_ solar activity.
Here we are not depending on either Wolf's period of 11 years or
Brown's of 10-1/2 years; from records of actual observation it is
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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