Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjectsProctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjects
Proctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
Let us consider the history of the search for an intra-Mercurial planet
from the time when first the idea was suggested that such a planet
exists until the time of its actual discovery--for so it seems we must
regard the observations made during the total eclipse of July, 1878.
On January 2, 1860, M. Leverrier announced, in a paper addressed to
the Academy of Sciences, that the observations of Mercury could not
be reconciled with the received elements of the planet. According to
those elements, the point of Mercury's orbit which lies nearest to the
sun undergoes a certain motion which would carry it entirely round in
about 230,000 years. But to account for the observed motions of Mercury
as determined from twenty-one transits over the sun between the years
1697 and 1848, a slight increase in this motion of the perihelion was
required, an increase, in fact, from 581 seconds of arc in a century
to nearly 585. The result would involve, he showed, an increase in
our estimate of the mass of Venus by a full tenth. But such a change
would necessarily lead to difficulties in other directions; for the
mass of Venus had been determined from observations of changes in the
position of the earth's path, and these changes had been too carefully
determined to be readily regarded as erroneous. 'This result naturally
filled me with inquietude,' said Leverrier later. 'Had I not allowed
some error in the theory to escape me? New researches, in which every
circumstance was taken into account by different methods, ended only in
the conclusion that the theory was correct, but that it did not agree
with the observations.' At last, after long and careful investigation
of the matter, he found that a certain slight change would bring
observation and theory into agreement. All that was necessary was
to assume that matter as yet undiscovered exists in the sun's
neighbourhood. 'Does it consist,' he asked, 'of one or more planets, or
other more minute asteroids, or only of cosmical dust? The theory tells
us nothing on this point.'
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