Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjectsProctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjects
Proctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
America, has seen her when so near the sun that she appeared to be a
mere circular thread of light, the completion of the circle being the
best possible proof how exceedingly fine the thread must have been, and
also how small its intrinsic lustre.
This is indeed the chief difficulty in Lescarbault's supposed
observation. If he really saw a body in transit across the sun, moving
at the observed rate, and having anything like the observed diameter,
that body ought to have been seen repeatedly during total eclipses of
the sun, and ought not to have escaped the search which has been made
over and over again near the sun for intra-Mercurial planets. Either we
must reject Lescarbault's narrative absolutely, or we must suppose that
he greatly over-estimated the size of the body he observed.
Another difficulty almost equally important is found to exist when
we consider the circumstances of Lescarbault's supposed discovery.
Suppose the path of Vulcan to be inclined about twelve degrees or
thereabouts to the ecliptic or to the plane in which the earth travels.
Then, as seen from the earth on April 3, and October 6, this path, if
it were a material ring, would appear as a straight line across the
sun's centre, and extending on either side of the sun to a distance
of about 16 sun-breadths. As seen on January 3 and July 5, when it
would have its greatest opening, Vulcan's path would appear as an oval
whose longest axis would be about 32 sun-breadths, while its shortest
would be little more than 6 sun-breadths, the sun of course occupying
the centre of the ellipse, which, where closest to him, would lie
but about 2-1/2 sun-breadths only from the outline of his disc. Now
it is easily seen that the path of Vulcan, changing in this way from
apparent straightness to a long oval (whose breadth is about one-fifth
its length), back to straightness but differently inclined, then to
the same oval as before but opened out the other way, and so back to
its original straightness and inclination, must, for no inconsiderable
portion of the year on either side of April 3 and October 6, intersect
the outline of the sun's disc. From a rough but sufficiently accurate
calculation which I have made, I find that the interval would last
about 36 days at each season, that is, from about March 16 to April 21
in spring, and from about September 18 to about October 24 in autumn.
But during a period of 36 days there would generally be two passages of
Vulcan between the earth and sun, and there would always be one (in any
long period of time two such passages would be five times as common an
event during one of these intervals as a single passage). Consequently
there would be at least two transits of Vulcan every year, and there
would generally be four transits; the average number of transits would
be about eleven in three years. With a wider orbit and a greater
inclination transits would be fewer; but even with the widest orbit and
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