Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjectsProctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjects
Proctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
Now the case here imagined corresponds very closely with the
circumstances of the recent attempt to correct our estimate of the
sun's distance by Delisle's method. Our Government astronomers
bethought themselves of this method as likely to give the best
possible means for correcting, by observations of Venus in transit,
the estimate of the sun's distance which had been deduced by Newcomb,
and confirmed by Leverrier. While as yet their plans were not finally
decided upon, reasons for questioning this conclusion were indicated to
those officials by unofficial astronomers entertaining very friendly
feelings towards them. Retaining, however, their reliance on the
method thus called in question, they carried out their purpose, though
fortunately making provision, very nearly sufficient, for the use of
another method. Now, instead of the estimate of the sun's distance
obtained from the observations by Delisle's method agreeing closely
with Newcomb's mean value,--about 92,350,000 miles,--it exceeds this
value by about a million miles. (See, however, note on the last page
of this article.) According to various ways of considering the results
sent in by his observers, the chief official astronomer obtains a mean
value ranging from about 93,300,000 miles to about 93,375,000 miles.
The last named estimate seems preferred on the whole; but if we take
93,350,000 miles, we shall probably give about the fairest final
mean value. We have seen, however, that the results of observations
by seven distinct methods give values ranging only between 92,250,000
miles and 92,850,000 miles,--the six best methods giving values ranging
only between 92,250,000 miles and about 92,480,000 miles. The new
value thus lies 500,000 miles above the largest and admittedly the
least trustworthy of the seven results, 870,000 miles above the next
largest, a million miles above the mean value, and 1,100,000 miles
above the least value. It certainly ranges 500,000 miles above the
largest admissible value from those seven trusted methods, dealt with
most skilfully, cautiously, and laboriously, by such mathematicians as
Newcomb and Leverrier.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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