In principle then, we could keep track of the Telstar satellite by
making a pair of observations P₁ and P₂, and then predicting ahead a
short segment of an orbit that is the ellipse we have computed. After a
while we must verify this ellipse with two more observations P₃ and P₄,
predict ahead over another segment, and verify again with P₅ and P₆ (see
_Figure 9_), The reason we have to keep taking new measurements is that
the elliptic orbit does not remain the same. As we discussed in
connection with Echo I, the orbital plane will “wobble” about the earth
because of the equatorial bulge. We also know that the orbit’s major
axis will revolve within the orbital plane. As we have seen before,
these effects are small and can be represented by appropriate
mathematical formulas. If we calculate them, we will see the connection
between one pair of observations and a later one, and eventually we can
increase the time interval between successive pairs of observations.
There are also mathematical formulas that we can use to predict the
position of the satellite for many revolutions in its elliptic orbit.
In order to predict orbits successfully, we must also realize that the
measurements we obtain from a precision tracker, such as the angles _A_
and _E_ and the distance ρ, are always subject to small inaccuracies.
Thus it is not really possible to take just two measurements like P₁ and
P₂ and determine a satisfactory orbit from them. In reality, our tracker
takes many readings, and these are averaged to give adequate information
about the orbit. Therefore, the picture we have in mind is not quite
like _Figure 7_, but rather like _Figure 10_. Here the trackers have
established a series of points that are somewhat scattered, and by
taking averages we can calculate an orbit that passes through them in a
smooth fashion.
The trackers we have mentioned so far have given us azimuth and
elevation angles and also the distance to the satellite at every
instant. Sometimes we must use simpler instruments that do not yield all
this information. They might, for instance, only give us the two angles.
The mathematics of calculating an orbit from such measurements is
somewhat different, but the process is fundamentally the same as we have
discussed here.
When you do these calculations for the Telstar satellite from one day to
the next—and especially if you have more than one satellite to keep
track of—the amount of work will become quite large. Nowadays our
calculations are done for us on electronic computers, which both receive
information from the tracking instruments automatically through Teletype
or DataPhone channels and send back information concerning future
positions of the satellite to the ground stations. There are still quite
a few problems to be solved, and we are presently working on ways of
making all this equipment perform the orbit predictions for the Telstar
satellites automatically and efficiently.
[Illustration: _Figure 10_]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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