Scientific American Supplement, No. 829, November 21, 1891Various
Science
Scientific American Supplement, No. 829, November 21, 1891
Various
Science -- Periodicals
In the presence of these facts questions occur to the mind which have
the most practical bearing. Why should a community wake up one day
with catarrh or with the back of the throat unduly red and the tonsils
large? Why, in a particular village or town, shall the medical men be
summoned on some particular day to a number of places to visit
children with croup? What is the reason that cases of sudden death, by
so-called "apoplexy," crowd together into a few hours? Why, in a given
day or week, are shoals of the aged swept away, while the young live
as before? These are questions which curative and preventive medicine
have not yet mastered as might be desired. Curative medicine, at the
name of them, too often stands abashed, if her interpreter be honest;
and preventive medicine says, if her interpreter be honest, "The
questions wait as yet for full interpretation."
Still, we are not altogether ignorant; some circumstances appear to be
followed by effects so definite, that we may almost consider we have
before us, in true position, cause and effect. Let us look at this
position in reference to _the simple influence of temperature on the
value of life_.
If we observe the fluctuation of the thermometer by the side of the
mortality of the nation at large, no calculable relationship seems, at
first sight, to be traceable between the one and the other. But if, in
connection with the mortality, care be taken to isolate cases, and to
divide them into groups according to the ages of those who die, a
singular and significant series of facts follow, which show that after
a given age a sudden decline of the temperature influences mortality
by what may be considered a definite law. The law is, that variations
of temperature exert no marked influence on the mortality of the
population under the age of thirty years; but after the age of thirty
is reached, a fall of temperature, sufficient to cause an increased
number of deaths, acts in a regular manner, as it may be said, in
waves or lines of intensity, according to the ages of the people. If
we make these lines nine years long, we discover that they double in
effect at each successive point. Thus, if the, fall in the temperature
be sufficient to increase the mortality at the rate of one person of
the age of thirty, the increase will run as follows: 1 death at 30
years of age will become 2 deaths at 39 years of age, 4 at 48 years, 8
at 57 years, 16 at 66 years, 33 at 75 years, and 64 at 84 years.
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