Sibylla : $b or, The revival of prophecyMace, C. A. (Cecil Alec)
Philosophy
Sibylla : $b or, The revival of prophecy
Mace, C. A. (Cecil Alec)
Civilization; Progress
It was this prophetic function of scientific thought which the author
set out in this little book to investigate, but like other writers
in the series he was tempted to “try out” some tentative principles
which seemed to promise well. Perhaps the future will reveal some
inaccuracies in his forecast, but the digression has been worth while.
One thing, at least, is certain. Large scale organization extends to
the work of science. In our past experiments we have been too much
concerned with events of short duration, with the kind of results we
could obtain for rapid publication, and with cycles that fall within
the span of an individual life. Even now we have insufficient data to
decide whether cold winters come in periods of seventy or eighty years,
a ridiculously easy problem which a little organization would have
solved. But every year will add to the fund of carefully recorded data.
Men are learning to co-operate through time. Experiments initiated by
the father are continued by the son, and succeeding generations will
record the results.
Organization provides a workable alternative to the invention
of Methuselahs; though it would simplify things considerably if
Nature could see her way to adopt the suggestion of Mr Shaw. More
than anywhere else perhaps this kind of organization is needed for
sociological and biological experiment. By that way we shall obtain
the knowledge upon which scientific prophecy may be based. In the
meantime, let us speculate. Speculation is not a deadly sin, but an
aid to true perspective, and it is suggestive of good hypotheses.
Nor need our speculations, even now, be wholly in the air. We have
the broad tendencies of the past on which to base our forecast. The
danger lies in a premature attempt to elucidate the details. The older
prophets tried to foresee particular events, the newer are content with
the general tendencies. Knowledge grows not like a crystal by minute
accretions, but like a work of art, from outline down to detail guided
by inspiration――which, in science, is speculation.
C. A. M.
SIBYLLA
OR
THE REVIVAL OF PROPHECY
I
Experience enables us to defend in age the prejudices of our youth, and
belatedly to realize ambitions forsaken in earlier years. This would
seem to be true not only of individuals but of institutions also.
Modern science, adolescent in the nineteenth century, shows signs
of middle age; and with it that mellowed and urbane tolerance which
fosters idealism and optimistic projects, projects which the realism
and studied pessimism of youth declare to be beyond all powers of
attainment.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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