It is a curious fact—of which relativity is not the only
illustration—that, as reasoning improves, its claims to the power of
proving facts grow less and less. Logic used to be thought to teach
us how to draw inferences; now, it teaches us rather how not to draw
inferences. Animals and children are terribly prone to inference: a
horse is surprised beyond measure if you take an unusual turning. When
men began to reason, they tried to justify the inferences that they
had drawn unthinkingly in earlier days. A great deal of bad philosophy
and bad science resulted from this propensity. “Great principles,”
such as the “uniformity of nature,” the “law of universal causation,”
and so on, are attempts to bolster up our belief that what has often
happened before will happen again, which is no better founded than the
horse’s belief that you will take the turning you usually take. It is
not altogether easy to see what is to replace these pseudo-principles
in the practice of science; but perhaps the theory of relativity gives
us a glimpse of the kind of thing we may expect. Causation, in the
old sense, no longer has a place in theoretical physics. There is,
of course, something else which takes its place, but the substitute
appears to have a better empirical foundation than the old principle
which it has superseded.
The collapse of the notion of one all-embracing time, in which all
events throughout the universe can be dated, must in the long run
affect our views as to cause and effect, evolution, and many other
matters. For instance, the question whether, on the whole, there is
progress in the universe, may depend upon our choice of a measure of
time. If we choose one out of a number of equally good clocks, we may
find that the universe is progressing as fast as the most optimistic
American thinks it is; if we choose another equally good clock, we may
find that the universe is going from bad to worse as fast as the most
melancholy Slav could imagine. Thus optimism and pessimism are neither
true nor false, but depend upon the choice of clocks.
The effect of this upon a certain type of emotion is devastating. The
poet speaks of
One far-off divine event
To which the whole creation moves.
But if the event is sufficiently far off, and the creation moves
sufficiently quickly, some parts will judge that the event has already
happened, while others will judge that it is still in the future. This
spoils the poetry. The second line ought to be:
To which some parts of the creation move,
while others move away from it.
But this won’t do. I suggest that an emotion which can be destroyed by
a little mathematics is neither very genuine nor very valuable. But
this line of argument would lead to a criticism of the Victorian Age,
which lies outside my theme.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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