Capitalism; Imperialism; Saving and investment; Socialism
industries for their savings, acquire titles to part of the capital in
Department I by supplying the difference between investment in
Department I and its own saving.[46] For any increase in the stock of
capital of both departments taken together, required by technical
progress and demand conditions, there is an appropriate amount of
saving, and so long as the total accumulation required and total saving
fit, there is no breakdown.
But here we find the clue to the real contradiction. These quantities
might conceivably fit, but there is no guarantee that they will. If the
ratio of saving which the capitalists (taken together) choose to make
exceeds the rate of accumulation dictated by technical progress, the
excess savings can only be 'capitalised' if there is an outlet for
investment outside the system. (The opposite case of deficient savings
is also possible. Progress would then be slowed down below the
technically possible maximum; but this case is not contemplated by our
author, and it would be irrelevant to elaborate upon it.)
Once more we can substitute for a supposed logical necessity a
plausible hypothesis about the nature of the real case, and so rescue
the succeeding argument. If in reality the distribution of income
between workers and capitalists, and the propensity to save of
capitalists, are such as to require a rate of accumulation which exceeds
the rate of increase in the stock of capital appropriate to technical
conditions, then there is a chronic excess of the potential supply of
real capital over the demand for it and the system must fall into
chronic depression. (This is the 'stagnation thesis' thrown out by
Keynes and elaborated by modern American economists, notably Alvin
Hansen). How then is it that capitalist expansion had not yet (in 1912)
shown any sign of slackening?
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