It is impossible to lay down a hard-and-fast rule that we can
never validly infer something radically different from what we
observe—unless, indeed, we take up the position that nothing
unobserved can ever be validly inferred. This view, which is advocated
by Wittgenstein in his Tractatus Logico-Philosophicus, has much
in its favour, from the standpoint of a strict logic; but it puts an
end to physics, and therefore to the problem with which this work
is concerned. I shall accordingly assume that scientific inference,
conducted with due care, may be valid, provided it is recognized as
giving only probability, not certainty. Given this assumption, I see
no possible ground for rejecting an inference to absolute space and
time, if the facts seem to call for it. It may be admitted that it
is better, if possible, to avoid inferring anything very different
from what we know to exist. Such a principle will have to be based on
grounds of probability. It may be said that all inferences to something
unobserved are only probable, and that their probability depends, in
part, upon the a priori probability[Pg 17] of the hypothesis; this may
be supposed greater when we infer something similar to what we know
than when we infer something dissimilar. But it seems questionable
whether there is much force in this argument. Everything that we
perceive directly is subject to certain conditions, more especially
physiological conditions; it would seem a priori probable that
where these conditions are absent things would be different from
anything that we can experience. If we suppose as we well may—that
what we experience has certain characteristics connected with our
experiencing, there can be no a priori objection to the
hypothesis that some of the things we do not experience are lacking
in some characteristics which are universal in our experience. The
inference to absolute space and time must, therefore, be treated as on
a level with any other inductive inference.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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