11. CHAPTER V.--A flank march in presence of the enemy is a most
difficult and dangerous operation. In the case of Blucher’s movement,
there was little actual danger from Grouchy, as events proved, but in
face of a vigorous enemy the Prussians would have been in a perilous
position. It was possible for an active enemy to seize the bridges over
the Dyle at Moustier and Ottignies, and fall upon Blucher’s flank. The
latter was not exposing his communications, for his real communications
were with Liege; he had temporarily abandoned them when he marched on
Wavre; but if attacked during his march his position would not have been
by any means safe. If defeated, whither would he have fallen back? This
is the chief danger of a flank march: the lack of a good, or even of
any, line of retreat. As a rule, a flank march, being away from the
general line of advance or retreat, has necessarily to be made on lesser
roads, and the difficulty of ample movement from one to another, or of
rapid deployment or change of front, becomes prodigious. Blucher, if
attacked during this march, would most probably have left one corps to
detain the enemy, while he, with the other three corps, resumed his
march towards Wellington; for to turn back would have been as dangerous
as to advance. But if his way had been barred he would have fallen back
on Brussels rather than upon Louvain, as he would still have a chance of
joining Wellington. If Blucher had been so attacked and defeated,
Grouchy would have been able to deal a terrible, in all probability a
crushing, blow on Wellington’s left flank.
It is interesting, but not particularly profitable, to speculate as to
what course events would have taken had Grouchy been up in time to
prevent Blucher’s flank march, and had checked him. Would Wellington
have fallen back on Brussels with Blucher, and fought again under the
city walls against Napoleon and Grouchy combined? In that case, the
weight of numbers would have been very much in favour of the allies, and
the great object of Napoleon’s plan of campaign--to prevent the junction
of the two armies--would have been thwarted. If Blucher, after being
checked, had fallen back on Louvain, while Wellington was still engaged
with Napoleon, it seems obvious that Grouchy’s extra numbers thrown into
the fight would have caused the Duke’s overthrow, for it would not then
have been necessary for Napoleon to detach against the Prussians;
Wellington was too seriously engaged to be able to withdraw, and the
defeat would have been complete. But after all, such speculation as this
might be continued indefinitely; and every campaign might be discussed
and argued to a hundred different conclusions by re-modelling the
conditions or improvising situations. A campaign, like a chess problem,
admits of more than one solution.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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