Plague is a very slow disease; it takes some weeks to travel from one
quarter of a city to another. It took nine months to travel from the
city of London to Soho, and ten from Hongkong to Macao—a distance of 30
miles. Thousands of persons from Canton and Hongkong sought shelter at
Macao, and there was free communication between these places, still
Macao became affected nine months after plague ceased at Hongkong. When
plague is first imported in a place, for three or four weeks isolated
cases occur in one neighbourhood. An epidemic may last only a few weeks
or months, but may extend over several years in sporadic form and a
recrudescence takes place abruptly. In Mesopotamia plague declines and
becomes dormant with the setting in of the hot weather, its activity
reawakening in winter and gathering force with the advancing spring. The
same was the case in Egypt. In Constantinople, on the contrary, as well
as in England, the disease was dormant during the cold months but became
active during the hotter. In England, September was the month of
greatest prevalence. In the epidemic at Bengazi in 1858 as well as in
Mukai in 1863 famine and plague were found together. That a water-logged
soil favours famine was illustrated during the epidemic on the Lower
Euphrates in 1867. In Persia and Arabia many epidemics were self-limited
and spontaneously came to an end after spreading on a certain area,
while, on the other hand, it has been known to obtain an endemic
foot-hold, the virus remaining from year to year, and, occasionally
under the influence of meteorological or unknown causes, becoming
epidemic among the population.
_Race._—No race seems to enjoy an immunity from the plague.
_Geology and Climate._—Except the new hemisphere the plague has found
congenial soil everywhere. It thrives as much in high and dry altitudes
as in low-lying places, as much in overcrowded towns as in sparsely
populated semi-desert regions. In temperate regions it has been known to
rage in summer, but in Astrakhan it prevailed when there were several
feet of snow on the ground. On the Volga it prevailed during the
severest cold (1878-79), as well as in the extreme heat of Smyrna
(1735). In Bombay it commenced at the end of an exceptionally dry
season, as it did in South China. During the Hongkong epidemic the rains
increased it. The increase of the epidemic at Hongkong with the rains
was probably due to the fact that the rains drove people into infected
houses, instead of sleeping outside, as they did in summer when the
weather was good. It has been said that plague flourishes in a warm
moist atmosphere and dry hot air kills it, but there are records of
plague thriving in conditions antagonistic to this theory. A temperature
between 60° and 85°F. is said to be very favourable to it.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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