In 1848, after a long period of prosperity, broken only by the war with
Mexico, business inflation and over-speculation again brought about the
logical and inevitable result. Europe also had been over-speculating
again and a crisis in England soon extended to the United States.
Liquidation was drastic and the depression lasted until the discovery
of gold in California began to bear fruit.
In 1857, one of the most serious, as well as the most short-lived, of
our crises occurred. Again speculation was extreme; December, 1856,
marked the high point in securities, and prices continued to sag for
some months; but it was not until August, 1857, that a panic occurred.
In 1864, came a crash in speculative prices following tremendous
inflation. Between April, 1864, and April, 1865, leading stocks
declined from $50 to $100 per share. As the inflation of this period
was caused largely by the high prices of commodities and greatly
increased railroad earnings occasioned by the events of the Civil War,
most writers on the subject do not consider it in their theoretical
discussions of crises.
In 1872, another boom was on, particularly in Iron and Steel. The
Chicago and Boston fires had not been as effective in breaking stock
prices as might have been expected. Prices of stocks began going down
materially in April, 1873, and in fact had been rather “toppy” during
the preceding years. This panic, like most of the others, was preceded
by enormous speculation and high prices. It is interesting to note that
while stocks were declining, general business was booming. The trained
minds of Wall Street were learning to discount the future at longer
range and more accurately. The iron and steel business exceeded all
former records in 1873, both in the matter of normal price and actual
production.
In January, 1884, numerous failures and suspensions produced a panic
which was in reality the culmination of a long decline. As in 1872,
this panic was preceded by enormous general business. The steel and
iron trade again broke all records in 1882, and other lines were
equally prosperous.
In 1893, the period of prosperity which followed the enactment of the
McKinley bill was rudely broken. Speculation had been rampant, as
usual. On May 4th, 1893, the National Cordage Company went into the
hands of a receiver. Only a year prior to that date, this corporation
was paying 12% in dividends and the stock was selling well above
par. There were many badly inflated stocks and many rotten spots in
the speculative stock markets. The Distillers and Cattle Feeders
shares fell from $70 to nothing, and were assessed $20 per share.
The aggregate liabilities of business failures in 1893 were almost
$350,000,000, over 20% greater than in 1892. Banks failed right and
left, and several leading railroad companies went into the hands of
receivers.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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