In 1890, twenty stocks listed on the New York Exchange were selling
at an average price of about $87 per share. The percentage of loans
to deposits was about 95% and the percentage of specie to loans about
20%. In November of that year, loans advanced to 102% as compared
with deposits, and specie declined to about 18% of loans. The stocks
mentioned declined to an average price of $64 per share, and later in
1901 to about $61 per share. From 1891 to 1893 there was some alternate
improvement and retrogression in money conditions, all of which was
accurately reflected in stock prices.
In 1893, the proportion of loans to deposits rose to about 109%, and
proportion of specie to loans declined to 13%. The average price of the
twenty stocks reached about $47 per share. (The panic of 1893).
In 1894, the proportion of loans to deposits fell to 80%, and specie
to loans rose to 30%. This was due to the liquidation of 1893. Stock
prices showed some betterment, rising to about $57 per share. The
severe drubbing of 1893 had made public investors nervous, and had in
many cases incapacitated them for stock market operations. That was to
come later.
In 1896, the proportion of loans to deposits rose to 102%, and specie
to loans fell to 10%. Stocks reached their lowest level in July of this
year ($42 per share for the twenty stocks mentioned).
From 1896 to 1898, a gradual improvement was apparent. Through all
this period stock prices faithfully reflected money conditions. In
July, 1898, the proportion of specie to loans rose to 30% and loans to
deposits fell to 83%. Stocks began advancing and in March, 1899, the
average price of the twenty stocks considered, was about $85 per share.
In June, 1900, the average price of the twenty stocks considered, was
about $75 per share. The proportion of specie to loans was about 22%,
and the proportion of loans to deposits was about 90%. From January,
1901, until September, 1902, money conditions did not improve, but
stocks continued to advance. There were large crops and a general wave
of expansion and prosperity swept the country. In September, 1902, the
proportion of loans to deposits was 99%, and the proportion of specie
to loans about 17%. Meanwhile stocks were high--$128 per share for
our twenty stocks. Conditions, though temporarily ignored, asserted
themselves in 1903, and in September of that year, the average price
of the twenty stocks was about $88 per share; the percentage of loans
to deposits 101% and specie to loans 19%. The money situation had not
changed materially, but the stock market was making a deferred payment.
In August, 1904, the proportion of loans to deposits had fallen to 90%
and specie to loans had risen to 25%. The stock market was steadily
advancing, and in January, 1906, stocks reached their pinnacle--$138
per share for the twenty securities considered.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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