A lean crop year can probably do more to temporarily injure the
actual _value_ of railroad shares than can any other single influence
bearing on prices. Tonnage is affected both ways, so is passenger
traffic. There is less grain or cotton to haul to the markets, and, as
purchasing power has been reduced in the affected localities, there is
less freight to haul back to the producers. In the last analysis, the
products of a community represent to a great extent the mere exchange
of these products for other luxuries and necessities, and the effect of
decreased production is a two-edged sword, so far as the transporting
companies are concerned.
_Accidents._
The effect of accidents on stock prices has been fully discussed
in a former work, and the contention offered that accidents could
no more be provided against, or considered, in the investment or
speculative world than in any other walk of life. It is also thought
that accidents are more frequently the _excuse_ for movements than
the _cause_ of them. If a market is in a bad technical or general
condition, the slightest adverse happening may create panic; while
if the foundation is sound, even a great calamity, such as the San
Francisco earthquake, will cause only a temporary halt. The man who
speculates correctly has little to fear from accidents.
In the following section of this work, the writer
has undertaken to touch on such features as appear
of most interest and benefit to the speculator or
investor. Some of the matter presented, such as the
question of dividend dates, will appear to many
readers so simple as to be unnecessary, but it is
true, nevertheless, that many very elementary facts
are misunderstood or unappreciated by a large class
of public participators.
VI
Puts and Calls
Puts and Calls, or “privileges,” have long been popular with a certain
trading element, either as a protection against loss in commitments
already made, or as a positive method of trading.
The theory and operation of privileges may be easily understood by
considering them in the light of insurance, the money paid for them as
a premium, and the funds received in case the privilege is exercised,
as a loss paid by the insurance company. It will be understood, that
in speaking of the _seller_ of puts or calls, the insurance company is
referred to, and that the _buyer_ represents the insured party.
The _buyer_ of a call has the right to _call_ for his shares or
commodity, at the price named in the contract at any time before its
maturity. The _seller_ of a call fixes a certain price at which he
agrees to _deliver_ stock, specifies the duration or time limit of the
contract, and receives from the buyer a certain sum or premium.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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