1--What margins are necessary to reasonable safety?
2--Is it better to study the entire list or make a
specialty of one stock?
3--What class of securities is the safest?
4--What may be considered a fair rally or reaction in
stock prices under ordinary circumstances?
5--What is the best general method of trading?
Some of these questions have been answered in the preceding chapters,
but they will be taken up here in turn and the writer’s views submitted
on each head.
1--What margins are necessary to reasonable safety?
There is no unqualified answer to this question. The price of the
shares operated in must be considered. All other things being equal, a
stock selling at $50 would require only half the margin employed in
operating in a security selling at $100. If the $50 stock declines
25 points, it has suffered a quoted loss of half its value. The $100
stock, however, must decline 50 points to suffer an equal loss. This
percentage of advance or decline is established with remarkable
fidelity in every considerable movement.
If the scale order is employed as a method of accumulating shares,
extraordinary marginal provisions must be made, for even as the line
acquired increases, the original margin dwindles. The scale order
is, or should be, based on the assumption that a temporary decline
below the first purchase price is desirable and is necessary to the
best results. This fact, however, should never be contorted in such a
manner as to instigate purchases at high prices. If the operator who
employs the scale order will try to make the first purchase at what
he considers a bargain price, or in other words at what he calculates
to be the very bottom of a movement, he will surely find that in nine
cases out of ten, his own errors or the velocity which frequently
carries prices to ridiculously low or high points will enable him to
accumulate his line to advantage. The scale order should never be used
on its mechanical merits alone, but merely as a method of averaging.
It goes without saying that marginal necessities will be principally
gauged by the correctness of the speculator’s general views. It is the
writer’s opinion, that if care and intelligence is used in judging
values, conditions, and the stages of the market, a margin of 20% will
be sufficient in almost all cases. That is to say, 20 points on a
stock selling at par and 10 points on a stock selling at 50. It must
be distinctly understood, however, that this opinion contemplates
purchases at low prices after a decline has occurred; and when both the
technical and general conditions warrant purchases.
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