The great and disastrous conflagration of Vesuvius, which took place on the 26th of April, 1872, was, in my opinion, the last phase of an eruption which commenced at the end of January, 1871, an account of which I was unwilling to write, because I was convinced that it would not really terminate without a more or less violent explosion, such as I had often predicted. I shall now state the reasons upon which my prediction was founded. When the central crater begins to heave, with slight eruptions, one may always predict a series of slight convulsions of greater or less duration, which are preparatory to the grand explosion, after which the Volcano remains for the most part in repose. Thus, when I observed the cone fissuring in November, 1868, and copious lava streams issuing from it, and flowing over the beautiful and fertile plains of the Novelle, through the Fossa della Vetrana, instead of announcing the beginning of an eruption, I announced the termination of one which had been manifest for upwards of a year by the constant flow of lava from the summit of the cone. From the month of November, 1868, until the end of December, 1870, the mountain remained quiet, except that the fumaroles at the head of the fissure showed a degree of activity by which chlorides and sulphides of copper, sulphide of potash and other products, were engendered. But in the beginning of 1871 the seismograph was disturbed,[1] and the crater discharged, with a slight detonation, a few incandescent projectiles. Then I announced that _a new eruption had commenced, which might be of long duration, but with phases that could not possibly be foreseen_; and on the 13th January, on the northern edge of the upper plain of the Vesuvian cone, an aperture appeared, from which at first a little lava issued, and then a small cone arose and threw out incandescent projectiles, with much smoke of a reddish colour, whilst the central crater continued to detonate more loudly and frequently. The lava-flow continued to increase until the beginning of March, without extending much beyond the base of the cone, although it had great mobility. In March, this little cone appeared not only to subside, but even partly to give way, as almost happens with eccentric cones when their activity is at an end. Upon visiting it, I observed that four prismatic or pillar-like masses remained standing, three of which were formed of scoriæ which had fallen back again in a pasty condition, and had become soldered together, the fourth consisting of a pyramidal block of compact and lithoidal lava, which appeared to have been forced up by impetus from the ground beneath. A little smoke issued from the small crater, and a loud hissing from the interior was audible. By lying along the edge, I could see a cavity of cylindrical form about ten metres in depth, tapestried with stalactitic scoriæ covered with sublimations of various colours. The bottom of this crater was level,