The Essentials of Logic, Being Ten Lectures on Judgment and InferenceBosanquet, Bernard
Philosophy
The Essentials of Logic, Being Ten Lectures on Judgment and Inference
Bosanquet, Bernard
Logic
I said _mere_ number was no help in scientific Induction. But do not
these three sets of resemblances make a stronger proof than any one
would? Yes, because we need a presumption against accident. You would
not want this if you could unveil what really happens in one case,
but as infinite conditions are operative in such matters, and it is
impossible to experiment accurately, [1] this cannot be done; {158}
and it might be said that _one_ such resemblance was an accident,
_i.e._ that it was owing to causes independent of the protection. But
as the cases become more numerous it becomes more improbable that
different circumstances produce the same effect, which would then be
a mere coincidence, in so many different cases. If, however, we knew
by positive and negative analysis what circumstance did produce the
effect, this confirmation would be useless.
[1] Ultimately, no experiments are absolutely accurate. There is
always an unexhausted background in which unsuspected causes of
error may be latent.
_Negative Instance_
(_f_) In order to show _exactly_ what circumstance produces a given
effect, a system must be brought to bear on the phenomenon through
negation. The only test of truth is that it is that which enables you
to organise your thought and perception.
The first means of doing this is Observation, then Experiment, then
Classification and Hypothesis, which takes us into Deduction.
Observation is inaccurate, until you begin to distinguish what is
connected from what is not connected. When you do this, you are very
near experiment, the use of which is to introduce perfectly definite
and measurable changes into what you are observing. [1] There is no
absolute distinction between observation and experiment. Looking at a
tissue through a microscope is observation; putting on a polariscope,
though it changes the _image_ altogether, is observation; if you
warm the stage, or put an acid on the object, that, I suppose, is
experiment, because you interfere with the object {159} itself. What
should we say, for example, as to spectroscopic analysis of the Sun’s
corona?
[1] Jevons, _loc. cit_., esp. quot. from Herschel (p. 234).
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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