The evolution of climateBrooks, C. E. P. (Charles Ernest Pelham)
Science
The evolution of climate
Brooks, C. E. P. (Charles Ernest Pelham)
Climatology; Paleoclimatology
The geographical theory, which states that the Ice Age was brought
about by elevation in high latitudes, and by changes in the land and
sea distribution, though never seriously challenged, has suffered
until recently from a lack of precision. The present author attempted
to remedy this by a close mathematical study of the relation of
temperature to land and sea distribution at the present day. The
method at attack was as follows: from the best available isothermal
charts of all countries the mean temperature reduced to sea-level was
read off for each intersection of a ten-degree square of latitude and
longitude, for January and July, from 70° N. to 60° S. latitude; this
gave 504 values of temperature for each of these months. Round each
point was next drawn a circle with an angular radius of ten degrees,
divided into east and west semicircles. The area of each semicircle
was taken as 100, and by means of squared paper the percentage of
land to the east and land to the west were calculated; finally, in
each month the percentage of the whole circle occupied by land, ice,
or frozen sea was calculated, this figure naturally being greater in
winter than in summer. The projection used was that of the “octagonal
globe,” published by the Meteorological Office, which shows the world
in five sections, the error nowhere exceeding six per cent.
These figures were then analysed mathematically, and from them the
effects on temperature of land to the east, land to the west, and
ice were calculated. The detailed numerical results are set out in
an Appendix; it is sufficient here to give the following general
conclusions:
(1) In winter the effect of land to the west is always to lower
temperature.
(2) In winter the effect of land to the east is almost negligible,
that is to say, the eastern shore of a continent is almost as cold
as the centre of the continent. The only important exception to this
rule is 70° N., which may be considered as coming within a belt of
polar east winds.
(3) In summer the general effect of land, whether to the east or
west, is to raise temperature, but the effect is nowhere anything
like so marked as the opposite effect in winter.
(4) The effect of ice is always to lower temperature.
(5) For every latitude a “basal temperature” can be found. This is
the temperature found near the centre of an ocean in that latitude.
This “basal temperature” is a function of the amount of land in the
belt of latitude. Poleward of latitude 20° an increase of land in the
belt lowers the winter basal temperatures very rapidly and raises the
summer basal temperature to a less extent. The “basal temperature”
is important, since it is the datum line from which we set out to
calculate the winter and summer temperatures of any point, by the
addition or subtraction of figures representing the local effect of
land in a neighbouring 10° circle.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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