The evolution of climateBrooks, C. E. P. (Charles Ernest Pelham)
Science
The evolution of climate
Brooks, C. E. P. (Charles Ernest Pelham)
Climatology; Paleoclimatology
These considerations apply more particularly to the earlier records,
while Mr. Brooks has confined his work chiefly to the later records,
beginning with those of the Great Ice Age, in which climatic zones
are clearly indicated by the limits of the ice; but in this problem
one cannot confine one’s attention to a portion of the record, for
the test of any explanation must be its sufficiency to explain all
the past changes of climate. One will not be satisfied with an
explanation of the Great Ice Age which does not explain at the same
time the records of earlier ice ages, of which there is indubitable
evidence in the Permo-Carboniferous and Pre-Cambrian periods, and
the records of widespread tropical or sub-tropical conditions in the
Carboniferous and Eocene Ages. Whether Mr. Brooks’ theory for the
cause of the recent changes of climate satisfies this criterion must
be left to each reader to decide.
As Mr. Brooks says, the literature on this subject is now immense,
and it is most unsatisfactory literature to digest and summarize. In
the first place, many of the original observations which can be used
in the study of past climates are hidden away in masses of purely
geological descriptions, and a great deal of mining has to be done
to extract the climatic ore. Then, again, most of the writers who
have made a special study of climatic changes have had their own
theoretical ideas and most of their evidence has been _ex parte_. To
take a single example, for one paper discussing dispassionately the
evidence for changes in climate during the historical period, there
have been ten to prove either that the climate has steadily improved,
steadily deteriorated, changed in cycles or remained unchanged. It is
extremely difficult to arrive at the truth from such material, and
still more difficult to summarize the present state of opinion on the
subject.
It may be complained that Mr. Brooks has himself adopted this same
method and has written his book around his own theory. But was
there any alternative? There are so many theories and radically
different points of view that no writer could confine himself to the
observations and say what these indicate, for the indications are so
very different according to each theory in turn. And new theories are
always being propounded; since Mr. Brooks commenced to write this
book, Wegener has put forward his revolutionary theory according
to which the polar axis has no stability, and the continents are
travelling over the face of the globe like debris on a flood. Where
is there solid ground from which to discuss climatic changes if the
continents themselves can travel from the equator to the pole and
back again in the short period of one or two geological epochs?
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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