The evolution of climateBrooks, C. E. P. (Charles Ernest Pelham)
Science
The evolution of climate
Brooks, C. E. P. (Charles Ernest Pelham)
Climatology; Paleoclimatology
Nearly all the theories which have been put forward to account for
geological changes of climate, and especially the occurrence of the
last or Quaternary Ice Age, are based on the abnormal variation of
one or other of the above factors, and we may consider them briefly
in turn. Very few have ever been taken seriously. In the first place,
we can at once dismiss fluctuations in the radiation emitted by
the sun as a cause of _great_ changes of climate. It is true that
many small fluctuations are traceable directly to this cause, such
as the eleven-year periodicity of temperature and rainfall; but
these fluctuations are, and must be, greater at the equator than at
the poles, while the fall of temperature during the Glacial period
reached its maximum near the poles and was least at the equator.
Moreover, there is not the slightest direct evidence in support of
such a theory, and it can only be admitted when all other hypotheses
have failed.
The “astronomical” theory of the cause of climatic fluctuations is
associated chiefly with the name of James Croll. Croll’s theory
connects abnormal variations of climate with variations, firstly of
the eccentricity of the earth’s orbit, and secondly of the ecliptic.
In periods of high eccentricity the hemisphere with winter in
aphelion is cold because the long severe winter is far from being
balanced by the short hot summer; at the same time the opposite
hemisphere enjoys a mild equable climate. This theory commanded
instant respect, and still finds a place in the text-books, but
difficulties soon began to appear. The evidence strongly suggests
that glacial periods did not alternate in the two hemispheres,
but were simultaneous over the whole earth; even on the equator
the snow-line was brought low down. Moreover, on Mars the largest
snow-cap appears on the hemisphere with its winter in perihelion.
Although Croll’s reasoning was beautifully ingenious he gave very few
figures; while the date which he gives for the conclusion of the Ice
Age, 80,000 years ago, has been shown by recent research to be far
too remote, 15,000 years being nearer the mark.
Croll’s theory has recently been revived in an altered form by R.
Spitaler, a Czecho-Slovakian meteorologist, who calculated the
probable alteration in the mean temperature of each latitude under
maximum eccentricity (0.7775) and maximum obliquity (27° 48′), the
distribution of land and water remaining unchanged. The results are
shown in the attached table, where - means that the temperature was
so much below the present mean, and + that it was so much above.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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