The Forgotten Man, and Other EssaysSumner, William Graham
Science
The Forgotten Man, and Other Essays
Sumner, William Graham
Economics; Social sciences
The plan of a concurrent circulation with a free mint strikes, upon
close examination, at every step, against difficulties of that sort
which warn a scientific man that he is dealing with an empirical and
impossible delusion. How is it to be brought about? The movement
towards a bimetallic circulation would never begin unless the ratio
of the coinage was the market ratio. It would not go on unless the
mint ratio followed every fluctuation of the market. It would not be
accomplished unless the mint ratio at last was that of the market. It
would not remain unless the market ratio remained fixed. But the mint
ratio cannot be changed from time to time. If it were, the result would
be inextricable confusion in the coins, driving us back to the use of
scales and weights with which to treat the coins as bullion.
If we pass over this difficulty, and suppose, for the sake of argument,
that the system had been brought into activity, the reasons why it
could not stand present themselves in numbers. They all come back to
this, that the supply is beyond our knowledge and control. If the
supply of either metal increased, it would overthrow the legal rating
at the point at which it was put into the market, and would destroy the
equality there. Its effects would spread according to the amount of the
new supply and the length of time it continued. The bimetallists seem
to forget that an increased demand counteracts an increased supply only
by absorbing it under a price fluctuation. The same error is familiar
in the plans for perpetual motion. Speculations to that end often
overlook the fact that we cannot employ a force in mechanics without
providing an escapement which is always exhausting the force at our
disposal. So the bimetallists seem to think of their enhanced demand
as acting on value without an actual action and reaction which consist
in absorbing supply under a price fluctuation. The new metal would
therefore pass into the circulation and would destroy the equilibrium
of the metals in the coinage. If this new addition were only a
mathematical increment it would suffice to establish the principle for
which I contend and to overthrow the bimetallic theory, for if I see
that any force has a certain effect I must infer that the same force
increased or continued would go on to greater effects; and if the
final effect is not reached it is because the force is not sufficient,
not because there is an act of the legislature in the way. If then,
silver entered the circulation, gold would leave it and be exported, if
the exchanges allowed of any export, or would be hoarded and melted.
The silver-producing countries would therefore gravitate towards a
silver circulation only, and other countries towards a gold circulation.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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