The Forgotten Man, and Other EssaysSumner, William Graham
Science
The Forgotten Man, and Other Essays
Sumner, William Graham
Economics; Social sciences
In two former articles I have discussed some points which are presented
by the advocates of the free coinage of silver, on the assumption
that their project was feasible and their conception of its operation
correct. They have laid out a program; free coinage, silver standard,
great demand for silver, rise of prices, rise in the value of silver,
cancellation of debts, prosperity. They now admit that this program
would involve a panic, but it would come out, they say, at the desired
result in two or three years. They denounce the gold standard as having
caused hard times, but they plan a program with a panic as an incident
on the way to a silver standard as if it was a trifle.
_There is not a step in this program which could or would be carried
out as planned._
FREE SILVER MEANS FIAT PAPER MONEY.
The amount of circulating cash of all kinds in the hands of the
people at the present time is about nine hundred millions. If the
dollar was reduced to half its present value, and if allowance was
made for reserves, two thousand million silver dollars would be
the specie requirement of the country. We already have nearly five
hundred millions of such dollars. Hence the country could not use at
the utmost, if the new silver dollar was worth not more than half
the present gold dollar, and if the total circulation consisted of
silver without any paper, but three times as many more silver dollars
as we have now. But every one knows that such a state of the currency
never would exist. We should have paper “based on silver”; that is to
say, the silver inflation never will be carried out. It will turn to
paper inflation at the first step. Who can believe that, if the silver
standard was adopted, silver would be bought and piled up dollar for
dollar against the paper, and that the paper would be issued only as
fast as the silver could be coined? In fact, silver would no doubt be
dropped and forgotten, and we should have plain and straightforward
fiat money of paper. Such ought to be faced as the only real sense
and probable outcome of the present agitation for the free coinage of
silver.
LIMIT OF THE AMOUNT OF SILVER WHICH COULD BE ABSORBED.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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