Why, then, does science actually need general theories, despite the fact
that these theories inevitably alter and pass away? What is the service
of a philosophy of science, when it is certain that the philosophy of
science which is best suited to the needs of one generation must be
superseded by the advancing insight of the next generation? Why must
that which endlessly grows, namely, man's knowledge of the phenomenal
order of nature, be constantly united in men's minds with that which is
certain to decay, namely, the theoretical formulation of special
knowledge in more or less completely unified systems of doctrine?
I understand our author's volume to be in the main an answer to this
question. To be sure, the compact and manifold teachings which this text
contains relate to a great many different special issues. A student
interested in the problems of the philosophy of mathematics, or in the
theory of probabilities, or in the nature and office of mathematical
physics, or in still other problems belonging to the wide field here
discussed, may find what he wants here and there in the text, even in
case the general issues which give the volume its unity mean little to
him, or even if he differs from the author's views regarding the
principal issues of the book. But in the main, this volume must be
regarded as what its title indicates--a critique of the nature and place
of hypothesis in the work of science and a study of the logical
relations of theory and fact. The result of the book is a substantial
justification of the scientific utility of theoretical construction--an
abandonment of dogma, but a vindication of the rights of the
constructive reason.
III
The most notable of the results of our author's investigation of the
logic of scientific theories relates, as I understand his work, to a
topic which the present state of logical investigation, just summarized,
makes especially important, but which has thus far been very
inadequately treated in the text-books of inductive logic. The useful
hypotheses of science are of two kinds:
1. The hypotheses which are valuable _precisely_ because they are either
verifiable or else refutable through a definite appeal to the tests
furnished by experience; and
2. The hypotheses which, despite the fact that experience suggests them,
are valuable _despite_, or even _because_, of the fact that experience
can _neither_ confirm nor refute them. The contrast between these two
kinds of hypotheses is a prominent topic of our author's discussion.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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