The Fruits of Victory: A Sequel to The Great IllusionAngell, Norman
History
The Fruits of Victory: A Sequel to The Great Illusion
Angell, Norman
Economic history -- 1918-1945; World War, 1914-1918 -- Influence
This chapter was criticised by economists in Britain, France, and
America. I do not think that a single economist of note admitted the
slightest validity in this argument. Several accused the author of
adopting protectionist fallacies in an attempt to 'make out a case.' It
happens that he is a convinced Free Trader. But he is also aware that it
is quite impracticable to dissociate national psychology from
international commercial problems. Remembering what popular feeling
about the expansion of enemy trade must be on the morrow of war, he
asked the reader to imagine vast imports of enemy goods as the means of
paying an indemnity, and went on:--
'Do we not know that there would be such a howl about the ruin of
home industry that no Government could stand the clamour for a
week?... That this influx of goods for nothing would be represented
as a deep-laid plot on the part of foreign nations to ruin the home
trade, and that the citizens would rise in their wrath to prevent
the accomplishment of such a plot? Is not this very operation by
which foreign nations tax themselves to send abroad goods, not for
nothing (that would be a crime at present unthinkable), but at
below cost, the offence to which we have given the name of
"dumping"? When it is carried very far, as in the case of sugar,
even Free Trade nations like Great Britain join International
Conferences to prevent these gifts being made!...'
The fact that not one single economist, so far as I know, would at the
time admit the validity of these arguments, is worth consideration. Very
learned men may sometimes be led astray by keeping their learning in
watertight compartments, 'economics' in one compartment and 'politics'
or political psychology in another. The politicians seemed to misread
the economies and the economists the politics.
What are the post-war facts in this connection? We may get them
summarised on the one hand by the Prime Minister of Great Britain and on
the other by the expert adviser of the British Delegation to the Peace
Conference.
Mr Lloyd George, speaking two years after the Armistice, and after
prolonged and exhaustive debates on this problem, says:--
'What I have put forward is an expression of the views of all the
experts.... Every one wants gold, which Germany has not got, and
they will not take German goods. Nations can only pay debts by
gold, goods, services, or bills of exchange on nations which are
its debtors.[128]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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