The Great Illusion: A Study of the Relation of Military Power to National AdvantageAngell, Norman
History
The Great Illusion: A Study of the Relation of Military Power to National Advantage
Angell, Norman
Commercial policy; Disarmament; Imperialism; War; War, Cost of
But were my critic's figures as complete as they are absurdly
incomplete and misleading, I should still be unimpressed,
because the facts which stare us in the face would not
corroborate his statistical performance. We are examining what
is from the money point of view the most successful war ever
recorded in history, and if the general proposition that such a
war is financially profitable were sound, and if the results of
the war were anything like as brilliant as they are
represented, money should be cheaper and more plentiful in
Germany than in France, and credit, public and private, should
be sounder. Well, it is the exact reverse which is the case. As
a net result of the whole thing Germany was, ten years after
the war, a good deal worse off, financially, than her
vanquished rival, and was at that date trying, as she is trying
to-day, to borrow money from her victim. Within twenty months
of the payment of the last of the indemnity, the bank rate was
higher in Berlin than in Paris, and we know that Bismarck's
later life was clouded by the spectacle of what he regarded as
an absurd miracle: the vanquished recovering more quickly than
the victor. We have the testimony of his own speeches to this
fact, and to the fact that France weathered the financial
storms of 1878-9 a great deal better than did Germany. And
to-day, when Germany is compelled to pay nearly 4 per cent. for
money, France can secure it for 3.... We are not for the moment
considering anything but the money view--the advantages and
disadvantages of a certain financial operation--and by any test
that you care to apply, France, the vanquished, is better off
than Germany, the victor. The French people are as a whole more
prosperous, more comfortable, more economically secure, with
greater reserve of savings and all the moral and social
advantages that go therewith, than are the Germans, a fact
expressed briefly by French Rentes standing at 98 and German
Consols at 83. There is something wrong with a financial
operation that gives these results.
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