The Great Illusion: A Study of the Relation of Military Power to National AdvantageAngell, Norman
History
The Great Illusion: A Study of the Relation of Military Power to National Advantage
Angell, Norman
Commercial policy; Disarmament; Imperialism; War; War, Cost of
The something wrong, of course, is that in order to arrive at any
financial profit at all essential facts have to be disregarded, those
facts being what necessarily precedes and what necessarily follows a war
of this kind. In the case of highly organized industrial nations like
England and Germany, dependent for the very livelihood of great masses
of their population upon the fact that neighboring nations furnish a
market for their goods, a general policy of "piracy," imposing upon
those neighbors an expenditure which limits their purchasing power,
creates a burden of which the nation responsible for that policy of
piracy pays its part. It is not France alone which has paid the greater
part of the real cost of the Franco-German War, it is Europe--and
particularly Germany--in the burdensome military system and the general
political situation which that war has created or intensified.
But there is a more special consideration connected with the exaction of
an indemnity, which demands notice, and that is the practical difficulty
with regard to the transfer of an immense sum of money outside the
ordinary operations of commerce.
The history of the German experience with the French indemnity suggests
the question whether in every case an enormous discount on the nominal
value of a large money indemnity must not be allowed owing to the
practical financial difficulties of its payment and receipt,
difficulties unavoidable in any circumstances which we need consider.
These difficulties were clearly foreseen by Sir Robert Giffen, though
his warnings, and the important reservations that he made on this point,
are generally overlooked by those who wish to make use of his
conclusions.
These warnings he summarized as follows:
As regards Germany, a doubt is expressed whether the Germans
will gain so much as France loses, the capital of the indemnity
being transferred from individuals to the German Government,
who cannot use it so profitably as individuals. It is doubted
whether the practice of lending out large sums, though a
preferable course to locking them up, will not in the end be
injurious.
The financial operations incidental to these great losses and
expenses seriously affect the money market. They have been a
fruitful cause, in the first place, of spasmodic disturbance.
The outbreak of war caused a monetary panic in July, 1870, by
the anxiety of people who had money engagements to meet to
provide against the chances of war, and there was another
monetary crash in September, 1871, owing to the sudden
withdrawal by the German Government of the money it had to
receive. The war thus illustrates the tendency of wars in
general to cause spasmodic disturbance in a market so
delicately organized as that of London now is.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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