This event put a new face on the situation in New York. The Union was
now decreed. If New York did not enter it, she must be prepared to stand
alone, as an independent nation. Could she do that? The new
Confederation would hem her in on both sides. To it would belong New
Jersey, which flanked her only seaport on the west, and Connecticut and
Massachusetts, which walled her in on the east. The shape of the State
adapted it very badly indeed for an independent position. Moreover,
influences were known to be at work which would precipitate a hostile
tariff against the States which remained out of the Union. A few months
later such a tariff was actually adopted against Rhode Island, which was
treated as a foreign country in the levying of duties on imports.
New York could not stand that. Gilbert Livingston and a few others
changed their votes under a distinct announcement that the pressure of
"sister States" had made it impracticable to continue the opposition.
But even at the last, the Constitution was ratified by a majority of
only two in a vote of sixty! Gilbert Livingston held the fate of the
State in his hands, and he, though pledged against the Union, put New
York into the Union by his vote.
One vote would have kept New York out.
We have noted the fact that New York's position was unfavorable for an
attempt at independence. But the fact that the voice of but one man
prevented the attempt shows that the other opposing delegates were not
much afraid of making the leap. Supposing Gilbert Livingston had voted
the other way, and the vote had been thirty-one to twenty-nine against
ratification, instead of the same figure in its favor? What would have
resulted?
Let us see. Two other States were radically opposed to the
Constitution--Rhode Island and North Carolina. Very likely they would
have been glad to form a defensive alliance with New York. Virginia
ratified a few days after New Hampshire, but she might easily have
retracted her ratification, for she had no heart in it. With Virginia,
the malcontent States would have had (census of 1790) a population of
1,550,306, against 2,378,908 for the remaining colonies, including
Vermont, which was not yet in. This would not have been an utterly
hopeless foundation for a new league, constituted on the easy terms upon
which, and upon which only, these States were willing to enter the
Union. The want of contiguity of territory would have been the worst
objection to the formation of the league.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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