The crushing of the British right wing on this occasion, had Napoleon
been able thus to effect it, would have reversed a vast deal of history.
It is not necessary to take an extreme view of the situation to realize
this. On the immediate field, the British, Dutch and Hanoverians must
have been forced back upon Brussels, and Blücher would have been unable
to maintain a front against the French. Even if the remnants of the
allied armies had escaped, and made another stand, Napoleon must
instantly have regained a degree of prestige and position that would
have enabled him to consolidate his power at home and make excellent
terms abroad. Even after Leipsic, when he had seemed to be utterly
beaten, the powers had been willing to give him France's "natural
frontiers"--namely, the Rhine, the Alps and the Pyrenees.
It is likely that Leipsic and Elba had already taught the emperor wisdom
which would have deterred him from attempting to carry the boundaries of
his domain once more to the Baltic, or to parcel out the rest of Europe
among his relatives and dependents. But within the frontiers I have
named, and west of the Rhine, he must have remained impregnable; and all
the momentous consequences which resulted from his defeat must have been
thwarted and turned aside.
Out of the victory of the Allies at Waterloo came, first, the banishment
and early death of Napoleon Bonaparte; the placing of Louis XVIII on the
throne of France; the complete subduing of the Revolution; the creation
of the joint kingdom of Holland and Belgium (which meant the modern
intensely industrialized Belgian state, and Leopold, and the Congo); the
aggrandizement and lasting leadership of Prussia in Germany; the
foundation of the modern Italy through the annexation of the Genoese
republic to the Piedmont kingdom; the enlargement of Switzerland by
three cantons taken from France; the taking of Norway from Denmark and
its bestowal upon Sweden; the absorption of what was left of Poland by
Russia--and some other reparceling of territory in an arbitrary sense
which has nevertheless for the most part endured. There is scarcely a
political articulation in Europe to-day which does not date from
Waterloo; new tendencies still operate which had their inception then!
Indirectly the consequences were momentous. The aggrandizement of
Prussia prepared the way for the unification of Germany and the gradual
atrophy of Austria as a German state. As I have said, the enlargement of
Piedmont foretokened a united Italy, and built up another power which
has contributed to the enforced shrinkage of Austria. The two great
constructive European statesmen of the nineteenth century, Bismarck and
Cavour, were both the children of Waterloo.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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