Let us, in conclusion, briefly summarise what we now know of the method
in which new species are made. We have studied the various factors of
evolution—variation and correlation, heredity, natural selection, sexual
selection, and the other kinds of isolation. How do these combine to
bring new species into being, and to establish the same?
Natural Selection
Let us first consider the factor known as natural selection, since this
is the one on which Darwin laid such great stress. Natural selection,
although a most important factor in evolution, is not an indispensable
one. Evolution is possible without natural selection.
Let us suppose that there is no such thing as natural selection; that the
numbers of existing species are kept constant by the elimination of all
individuals born in excess of the number required to maintain the species
at the existing figure, and that the elimination of the surplus is
effected, not by natural selection, but by chance, by the drawing of
lots. Under such circumstances there may be evolution, existing species
may undergo change, but the evolution will be determined solely by the
lines along which variations occur.
If mutations take place along certain fixed lines, and tend to accumulate
in the given directions, evolution will proceed along these lines quite
independently of the utility to the organism of the mutations that occur.
An unfavourable mutation will have precisely the same chance of survival
as a favourable one.
If, on the other hand, mutations occur indiscriminately on all sides of
the mean, then those mutations which happen to occur most frequently will
have the best chance of survival, and they will mark the lines of
evolution. But suppose that no mutation occurs more frequently than the
others. Under such circumstances there will be no evolution, unless, by
some cause or other, portions of the species are isolated, because in the
long run the mutations will neutralise one another.
Let us now suppose that natural selection comes into play. The old method
of determining by lot which forms shall persist is replaced by selection
on the fixed principle that the fittest shall survive. The mutations
appear as before, and as before, of the large number that occur, only a
few are permitted to survive. But now the survivors, instead of being a
motley crowd, are a selected band, composed of individuals having many
characteristics in common—a homogeneous company. Thus one result of
natural selection is to accelerate evolution, by weeding out certain
classes of individuals and preventing them breeding with those it has
selected. On the other hand, natural selection will tend to diminish the
number of species which have arisen through mutation, inasmuch as it
weeds out many mutants which would have perished had their survival been
determined by lot.
Origin of the Fittest
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