But I did not enter into this digression merely to give a few tips
on gambling, or the advice not to gamble at all when gambling can be
avoided. The calculation of probabilities is of vast utility in matters
infinitely more important than markets or games. With it mathematicians
have put mere telescopists to shame. Give a mathematician the past
course of a planet, and he will calculate its future course without
taking the trouble to find out a thing about the nature of planets.
This is no chimera. It has been done. The vagaries of the motions of a
heavenly body fall into series; into cycles; into cycles within cycles.
Accuracy in prediction is determined by accuracy and amount of past
observations, and by nothing else.
But what has this to do with the human will? Everything. The so-called
“laws” of science, including the Law of Conservation, are the laws
of chance, nothing more. They are founded upon the behavior of great
masses of particles, or the behavior of one or a few particles (more
accurately, _particulars_) over long periods of time. As Lillie phrases
it, the regularity of nature is a “statistical regularity,” like the
regularity of the statistics of suicide. It does not interfere with the
freedom of the individual, of the particular. Here is the answer to
Freud’s absurd statement that the attempt to reconcile human free will
with divine omnipotence is always a failure. The actuary calculates the
number of suicides that are going to take place--does he thereby compel
you to kill yourself?
There is, of course, this difference between an actuary and
Omniscience. The actuary only knows the total result. Omniscience must
know the individuals who will help to make up that result. Omniscience
knows just what we are, individually. Omniscience knows every Psyche,
and knows what it will chose. I may know that a pair of dice are so
loaded that they will always come up sixes. Is it my knowledge which
compels them so to fall?
But some will say that if our human dice are loaded, it must have been
God who loaded them, and that beneath that load free will disappears.
It might have been that way, I will admit. Omniscience, being also
Omnipotence, might have loaded the dice, beyond question. Omnipotence
was under no compulsion to grant free will to anything. But by the
same reasoning, Omnipotence was free to withhold Its hand, and to let
us determine to a certain extent our actions for ourselves. Even the
finite mind has been able to see how this can be without interfering at
all with that regular march of events which characterizes a cosmos in
distinction from a chaos. A cosmos of free particulars will still have
a “statistical regularity.”
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account