The fact remains that in order to put France in possession of
Morocco, we all but went to war with Germany. We have escaped war,
but we have not escaped the national and abiding enmity of the
German people. Is it possible to frame a heavier indictment of the
foreign policy of any British Ministry? The secret, the open
secret, of this almost incredible crime against treaty-faith,
British interests and the peace of the world, is the unfortunate
fact that Sir Edward Grey has been dominated by men in the Foreign
Office who believe all considerations must be subordinated to the
one supreme duty of thwarting Germany at every turn, even if in
doing so British interests, treaty-faith and the peace of the world
are trampled underfoot. I speak that of which I know.
This was strong language and it went without challenge, for too many
Englishmen felt that way. In France, the Poincaré-Millerand-Delcassé
combination was getting well into the saddle; but with English public
opinion in this notably undependable condition, English support of
France, in spite of the secret agreement binding the two governments,
was decidedly risky. Thereupon France also was "determinedly pacifist."
Now if Germany had been the prime mover in "the most dangerous
conspiracy ever plotted against the liberty of nations," why did she not
take advantage of that situation?
Russia, too, was "determinedly pacifist" in 1912, and with good reason.
There was a party of considerable influence in the Tsar's court that was
strongly for going to war in behalf of Serbia, but it was finally headed
off by the Foreign Minister, Sazonov, who knew the state of public
opinion in England and its effect on France, and knew therefore that the
French-Russian-English alliance was not yet in shape to take on large
orders. It is true that the Poincaré-Millerand-Delcassé war-party in
France had proof enough in 1912 that it could count on the British
Government's support; and what France knew, Russia knew. Undoubtedly,
too, the British Government would somehow, under some pretext or other,
possibly Belgian neutrality, have contrived to redeem its obligations as
it did in 1914. But the atmosphere of the country was not favourable and
the thing would have been difficult. Accordingly, Sazonov saw that it
was best for him to restrain Serbia's impetuosity and truculence for
the time being--Russia herself being none too ready--and accordingly he
did so.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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