The French Government knows that a war would be the death-knell of
the Republic.... I have very great confidence in the Emperor
William's love of peace, notwithstanding the not infrequent air of
melodrama about what he says and does.... Germany can not go to war
for the sake of Morocco, nor yet to exact payment of those
compensations that she very reasonably demands for the French
occupation of Fez, which has become more or less permanent. On the
whole I feel less faith in Great Britain's desire for peace. She
would not be sorry to see the others destroying one another; only,
under those circumstances, it would be difficult for her to avoid
armed intervention.... As I thought from the very first, the crux
of the situation is in London.
By the end of July, a different conception of Germany's action seemed to
prevail. It began to be seen that the episode of the "Panther" had been
staged by way of calling for a show-down on the actual intentions and
purposes of the Triple Entente; and it got one. Mr. Lloyd George, "the
impulsive Chancellor of the Exchequer," as Count de Lalaing calls him,
made a typical jingo speech at the Mansion House; a speech which the
Prime Minister, Mr. Asquith, and Sir Edward Grey, the Foreign Minister,
had helped him to compose. The air was cleared at once--England stood by
France--and what better plan could have been devised for clearing the
air than the dispatch of the "Panther"? Germany stood for the policy of
economic equality, the policy of the open door to which all the Powers
interested had agreed in the case of Morocco. France, at the end of a
course of continuous aggression, had put 30,000 troops in occupation of
the capital of Morocco on an infamously unscrupulous pretext, and put
them there to stay, and the British Government "could not see why any
objection should be taken to it." Germany, on the other hand, anchored
an insignificant gunboat off an inaccessible coast, and without landing
a man or firing a shot, left her there as a silent reminder of the
Algeciras Act and the principle of the open door--carefully and even
ostentatiously going no further--and the British Government promptly,
through the mouth of Mr. Lloyd George, laid down a challenge and a
threat. Thereupon Germany and France understood their relative
positions; they understood, even without Sir E. Grey's explicit
reaffirmation of 27 November of the policy of the Triple Entente, that
England would stand by her arrangements with France. Baron Greindl
writes from Berlin 6 December, and puts the case explicitly:
Was it not assuming the right of veto on German enterprise for
England to start a hue and cry because a German cruiser cast anchor
in the roads of Agadir, seeing that she had looked on without a
murmur whilst France and Spain had proceeded step by step to
conquer Morocco and to destroy the independence of its Sultan?
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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