“Are we to conclude from this,” it may be asked, “that what went on
in the sun was the cause of the trouble on the telegraph wires?” I
think we are not at all entitled to conclude so from this instance
_alone_; but though in one such case, taken by itself, there is nothing
conclusive, yet when such a degree of coincidence occurs again and
again, the habitual observer of solar phenomena learns to look with
some confidence for evidence of electrical disturbance here following
certain kinds of disturbance there, and the weight of this part of the
evidence is not to be sought so much in the strength of a single case,
as in the multitude of such coincidences.
We have, however, not only the means of comparing sun-spot _years_ with
years of terrestrial electric disturbance, but individual instances,
particular _minutes_ of sun-spot changes, with particular minutes of
terrestrial change; and both comparisons are of the most convincing
character.
First, let us observe that the compass needle, in its regular and
ordinary behavior, does not point constantly in any one direction
through the day, but moves a very little one way in the morning, and
back in the afternoon. This same movement, which can be noticed even
in a good surveyor’s compass, is called the “diurnal oscillation,”
and has long been known. It has been known, too, that its amount
altered from one year to another; but since Schwabe’s observations it
has been found that the changes in this variation and in the number
of the spots went on together. The coincidences which we failed to
note in the comparison of the spots with the prices of grain are here
made out with convincing clearness, as the reader will see by a simple
inspection of this chart (Fig. 51, taken from Professor Young’s work),
where the horizontal divisions still denote years, and the height of
the continuous curve the relative number of spots, while the height of
the dotted curve is the amount of the magnetic variation. Though we
have given but a part of the curve, the presumption from the agreement
in the forty years alone would be a strong one that the two effects,
apparently so widely remote in their nature, are really due to a common
cause.
[Illustration: FIG. 51.--SUN-SPOTS AND MAGNETIC VARIATIONS.]
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