There is an ultimate limit, however, to the sun’s shrinking, and
there must have been some bounds to the heat he can already have thus
acquired; for--though the greater the original diameter of his sphere,
the greater the gain of heat by shrinking to its present size--if the
original diameter be supposed as great as possible, there is still a
finite limit to the heat gained.
Suppose, in other words, the sun itself and all the planets ground to
powder, and distributed on the surface of a sphere whose radius is
infinite, and that this matter (the same in amount as that constituting
the present solar system) is allowed to fall together at the centre.
The actual shrinkage cannot possibly be greater than in this extreme
case; but even in this practically impossible instance, it is easy
to calculate that the heat given out would not support the _present_
radiation over eighteen million years, and thus we are enabled to look
back over past time, and fix an approximate limit to the age of the sun
and earth.
We say “present” rate of radiation, because, so long as the sun is
purely gaseous, its temperature rises as it contracts, and the heat
is spent faster; so that in early ages before this temperature was as
high as it is now, the heat was spent more slowly, and what could have
lasted “only” eighteen million years at the present rate might have
actually spread over an indefinitely greater time in the past; possibly
covering more than all the æons geologists ask for.
If we would look into the future, also, we find that at the present
rate we may say that the sun’s heat-supply is enough to last for some
such term as four or five million years before it sensibly fails. It
is certainly remarkable that by the aid of our science man can look
out from this “bank and shoal of time,” where his fleeting existence
is spent, not only back on the almost infinite lapse of ages past, but
that he can forecast with some sort of assurance what is to happen
in an almost infinitely distant future, long after the human race
itself will have disappeared from its present home. But so it is, and
we may say--with something like awe at the meaning to which science
points--that the whole future radiation cannot last so long as ten
million years. Its probable life in its present condition is covered
by about thirty million years. No reasonable allowance for the fall
of meteors or for all other known causes of supply could possibly at
the present rate of radiation raise the whole term of its existence to
sixty million years.
This is substantially Professor Young’s view, and he adds:--
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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